After an exciting Sunday of action, we have one more opportunity this week to wager on professional football. So which plays do our analysts like the most?
Fantasy and sports betting analystAndré Snellingsand Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz provide their top plays for the matchup.
Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise indicated.
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET,Estadio Azteca in Mexico City
Schatz: I think the spread for this game is right on target if you assume a 50% chance thatKyler Murraywill start for the Cardinals. However, I like going with the under of 43.5. Both Arizona and San Francisco have been better on defense than on offense this season. Although Arizona is a fast-paced offense, San Francisco's pace is slow. We've found that, all other things being equal, divisional games tend to be a little lower scoring than the rest. As for this division, the Football Outsiders playoff odds simulation actually has Seattle as a small favorite to win the NFC West right now, so I'm definitely not taking the 49ers at -220.
Snellings: I'm not touching the game itself until I know Murray's status. If he does play, however, I'll take the Cardinals and the points. I do have some outside interest in the Cardinals to win the division, though. Murray built up some great rapport withMarquise Brownbefore his injury and then rekindled the chemistry with DeAndre Hopkins after his return. He even seems to be clicking with Rondale Mooreand hasRobbie Anderson as a wild-card No. 4 option. Add inJames Connerand, if these guys can get/stay healthy, I like them to finish the season strong. That's a lot of ifs, but they're only two games out. At 45-1, it might be worth it.
Cash out your parlay too early? Get burned on a last-second play? Come commiserate with Jason Fitz and his bad beats of the week.
Snellings: I'm more interested in McCaffrey's receiving and/or total yards props. Mitchell looked strong on the ground last week and he runs harder than McCaffrey. I could see the 49ers riding the hot hand in the backfield from week to week. With McCaffrey, what makes him unique is his receiving ability, and I think that's where he'll continue to have the leg up on Mitchell.
Schatz: San Francisco ranks ninth in offensive DVOA in the first quarter and fifth in defensive DVOA. Arizona is 28th on offense and 29th on defense. So, please, I'll happily take San Francisco -0.5 in the first quarter at -115.