In the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, results have been projected in several of the key swing states, and Trump looks to be on track for a second presidency.
Beyond the presidential race, voters also hit the polls around the country Tuesday and cast ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.
We're bringing you the latest updates, analysis and projections.
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MORE | 2024 election: Track electoral vote count and results map for the presidential election
Former President Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago and is on his way to the Palm Beach County Convention Center, where a watch party is being held.
Earlier in the evening, Elon Musk tweeted a photo from Mar-a-Lago, showing the former president huddled with the Tesla CEO and UFC CEO Dana White.
ABC News has projected Trump will carry the state of North Carolina and its 16 Electoral College votes. Although Harris was not likely to carry that state anyway, the projections still hurts her; as you can see using our handy-dandy election simulator, when we restrict the set of possible Electoral College outcomes to ones that include a Trump win in North Carolina and Florida, Harris loses ground probabilistically because those outcomes are likelier to occur in simulations with more Republican victories than not.
Internally here at 538, we have also been running a version of this model that updates itself with a likely win in Georgia, based on how few votes are left there, as well as a tight race in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, based on the lagging Democratic turnout there. That model assigns a 6-in-100 chance of Harris winning the majority of Electoral College votes after everything is said and done.
To be clear: That 6 percent chance is not nothing. It's possible that our models are extrapolating incorrectly about outstanding urban votes in Wisconsin, for example, where about 24% of the vote is left to be counted, or inferring incorrectly the result in Nevada, where no votes have been counted yet. But those states don't have enough votes to put Harris over the top if she loses Pennsylvania, anyway. There, 84% of the vote has been counted, and Harris trails Trump by 3 percentage points.
The ABC News Decision Desk has projected Kamala Harris will win New Mexico's 5 Electoral College votes.
The ABC News Decision Desk has projected Kamala Harris will win Hawaii's 4 Electoral College votes, Connecticut's 7 Electoral College votes, Washington's 12 Electoral College votes and Virginia's 13 Electoral College Votes.
