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Poll: Boxer has lead in California Senate race

October 29, 2010 6:38:00 PM PDT
The latest California Field Poll shows Republican Senate candidate Carly Fiorina now trailing by eight points behind Democratic incumbent Sen. Barbara Boxer in what was a dead heat just a couple of weeks ago.

To be down by eight points is got good, but Fiorina is down by a much bigger margin when it comes to women and independent voters and that is even worse.

In Menlo Park Friday morning, Fiorina responded to the latest polling numbers by discounting them.

"Well the Field Poll is an outlier poll in many ways including when it was taken," Fiorina said.

The poll was taken between Oct.14 and Oct. 26. What it reports is declined to state voters are breaking sharply for Boxer 49 to 32 percent. The gap is almost as large when it comes to women with Boxer at 52 percent to Fiorina's 37 percent.

Fiorina says she has her own polls.

"That show this race is very, very tight, it is very, very winnable and that it comes down in many ways to turnout," she said.

Fiorina says she believes her internal polls.

"The purpose of internal polls is to bolster the candidates moral, to get contributors to give more money and to make sure the air doesn't go out of the balloon, that's what those pollsters do," ABC7 political analyst Bruce Cain said.

Cain says Fiorina is not out of it, but the odds are greatly in Boxer's favor.

Boxer spent the day in Southern California campaigning with Sen. Dianne Feinstein.

"I think we've closed the enthusiasm gap, at least here in our state," Boxer said.

Feinstein is Boxer's campaign chairperson and her appearance with Boxer undercut Fiorina's message in Menlo Park. Fiorina told an audience of women that she and Feinstein will be better together than Feinstein and Boxer.

"On a whole host of issues Dianne Feinstein and I, I am quite sure will be very productive colleagues and I look very much forward to working with her," Fiorina said.

Asked if she would comment, Feinstein said the only poll that matters is the one next Tuesday.

"So much is taken for granted in this election and the worst possible thing is if somebody feels, 'Oh, I don't really have to vote Tuesday,'" she said.

Turnout is going to decide this Senate race. California has many more registered Democrats -- 13 percent more than Republicans, but what Republicans have is momentum. In Contra Costa County, for example, a higher percentage of Republicans are returning their mail in ballots; they are leading Democrats by about 4 percent.


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